Justin Gaethje vs James Vick
A lot if people are writing off Justin Gaethje in this fight, which I think is fucking crazy. Yes he’s lost two straight and got finished in them both, I get it. Yes James Vick is a huge lightweight and a very good and solid fighter, I get it. Thing is though that Gaethje lost to two of the top five lightweights in the world and they were both ‘fight of the night’
Personally though I think Gaethje wins this one. I honestly think his pressure and pace will cause Vick problems and add in the leg kicks and I honestly see Gaethje getting the stop. As long as he doesn’t hang out on the outside to long I think he will be fine.
Prediction : Gaethje by TKO
Result : Gaethje by KO
Michael Johnson vs Andre Fili
Michael Johnson is on a terrible run of results with one win in his last six, abysmal. He dropped to featherweight to try to kick start things but looked terrible against Elkins. He is under real pressure here and really needs this win but I don’t think it’s going to go his way.
Fili ain’t great but the longer the fight goes the more I think it swings in his favour. He’s fast and long and will feed off of Johnson’s aggression and I think gets the finish late.
Prediction : Fili by TKO
Result : Johnson by Split Dec
Cortney Casey vs Angela Hill
I think Angela will be the busier fighter here and throw more. Even if she doesn’t land, it will look better. I also just think she is a little bit better everywhere.
Prediction : Hill by decision
Result : Casey by Split Decision
Jake Ellenberger vs Bryan Barberena
Jake Ellenberger was a very good fighter with some really good wins but those days seem long gone and right now he’s won two of his last ten fights. I’m sure his heart and mind are still willing but his body is failing him and that’s how it will go in this fight as well.
Barberena has a decent lead left off of the southpaw stance and I think he will be able to sting Ellenberger a bit before he finishes him with a flurry.
Prediction : Barberena by TKO
Result : Barberena by TKO
Andrew Sanchez vs Markus Perez
Pretty winnable fight for both guys, just depends how it goes. From the start I give the edge to Sanchez, he’s a better wrestler with some heavy hands but Perez is stronger and more athletic and if Perez can push the pace in the first round and really make Sanchez work then he can gas him out. Perez needs to be careful early, careful but aggressive. Don’t let Sanchez rest and he can take him out later in the fight.
Prediction : Perez by TKO
Result : Sanchez by Decision
Eryk Anders vs Tim Williams
Comeback fight for Anders after the first blip of his pro career, and by blip I mean dodgy Brazilian hometown decision.
Tim Williams might land something hard but it would surprise me. Anders has decent defence, good movement and hits reasonably hard and I think Williams either walks onto a left hand or Anders gets his timing, walks him down and unloads against the fence. Either way I don’t see Williams seeing 15 minutes.
Prediction – Anders by KO/TKO
Result : Anders by KO
Rest of the Card
James Krause vs Warlley Alves
Krause seems to have found a bit of form recently and is on a four fight winning streak and will be looking to keep it open. Krause is very capable wherever the fight goes with good grappling and a good tidy striking game. He doesn’t hit the hardest but he has good timing and he’s accurate.
Warlley also is good in most ranges but I think if it is a nice open fast paced fight it will favour Krause and if Alves can get in close and use the clinch and rough it up a bit he has the advantage. Which is what I think will happen.
Prediction : Alves by decision
Result : Krause by TKO
Iuri Alcantara vs Cory Sandhagan
I think that Sandhagan is going to beat the shit out of Alcantara and unless he falls into a submission I can see him getting the finish here.
Prediction : Sandhagan by TKO
Result : Sandhagan by TKO
John Morgana vs Deiveson Figueiredo
Should be a great fight and I’m looking forward to it. Both guys are aggressive, with Figueiredo preferring to get it to to ground and Moraga happy to hang and bang.
I think the difference with this one maybe that Moraga doesn’t mind getting into brawls, throwing wild and Figueiredo may be able to use that to get him on his back and get more control. I don’t think he gets the submission but I’ll go Figueiredo by decision.
Prediction : Figueiredo by decision
Result : Figueiredo by submission
Rani Yahya vs Luke Saunders
I like Luke Saunders and I think he is better than he has shown at times in his UFC stint but I don’t think he’s good enough to keep Rani Yahya off of him.
Yahya is a world class grappler with 19 of his 25 wins coming by submission. Of course Saunders has a chance on the feet but I think over the course of the fight at some point the fight hits the ground then it becomes very dangerous for him. Rani is too good of a grappler.
Prediction : Yahya by submission
Result : Yahya by submission
Joanne Calderwood vs Kalindra Faria
I had high hopes for Jojo. I really thought she could possibly go all the way but maybe these days it seems like something is missing. I don’t know if it’s confidence or some other issue but at times it seems like the intensity is not quite there.
Both of these girls are on two loss skids and both need a win to stay semi relevant and avoid the dreaded three.
This one may depend on how Faria starts. At some point Jojo will get a read on her and get her timing and probably end stronger so it depends if Faria can start quickly. Can she do damage into the second round? I’m backing my countrywoman though.
Prediction : Calderwood by decision
Result : Calderwood by submission
Drew Dober vs Jon Tuck
Tuck is a good grappler but I feel that if Dober can keep it standing after the first round we could see Tuck losing confidence. Tuck wins first round but I think Dober wins 2 and 3 for the decision.
Prediction : Dober by decision
Result : Dober by Decision
Mickey Gall vs George Sullivan
One thing that sticks out to me about this fight is that all of Gall’s wins have come by submission and four of Sullivan’s five losses have been by submission. So obviously the best chance for Gall winning will be on the ground where Sullivan clearly needs to keep it on the feet.
Sullivan needs to set a fast pace and get in Gall’s face. To back him up and not let him settle pepper him with strikes but I’m not sure that Sullivan is the type of fighter that is capable of keep up that pressure for a long time. I can see Gall getting takedowns and enough control to win a decision.
Prediction – Gall by decision
Result : Gall by submission