UFC on Fox 28

Josh Emmett vs Jeremy Stephens

Been a hell of a time for Josh Emmett lately, where he’s sorta sneaked out of nowhere and after a great performance against Ricardo Lamas he’s now not too far away from the title picture. Emmett is 32 years old and 5’6. His record is 13 wins with only 1 loss, to Desmond Green, like I said he’s on a bit of a roll and will be hoping to keep the momentum going.

Jeremy Stephens has been around for a long time. Been fighting professionally for 12 years and raking up 41 fights. That’s a lot of experience and he’s only 31 years old. Out of his 41 fights he’s got 27 wins and 14 losses. He’s a very good fight who’s been in with some of the best in the world. He’s very aggressive and brings a lot of pressure, lot of power in his hands and good knees.

The way I see this going is a cagey first round. Like I said Emmett uses lots of movement, lots of faints and lots of half steps and this can give guys trouble getting into a rhythm. Emmett also has a good right hand, even though he knocked out Lamas with his left, and he steps in pumping that right 2 or 3 times. First Round Emmett could also use fake half shoots to close difference and try to get Stephens back on the fence so I can see Josh Emmett winning the first round and maybe even the second. I think though over the course of the fight Stephens big fight experience and his power will show. I think he will damage Emmett and get the finish in the 3rd or 4th.

Prediction – Stephens by KO/TKO

Result – Stephens by TKO

Jessica Andrade vs Tecia Torres

Andrade fights Wanderlei Silva used to, stalking forward plants her feet and swings powerful hooks. She’s very strong for a girl, doesn’t use much footwork, is a decent wrestler and good in scrambles. I remember watching her fight Rosi Sexton a few years ago and the beating she put on Rosi was hard to watch. She 5’2 and very athletically built. Her record is 17 wins and 6 losses. She coming off a win over Claudia Gadelha and lost to Jedrzejczyk before that.

Tecia Torres the ‘Tiny Tornado’, name suits her fighting style. She’s in constant motion, in out left right, never really settles and keeps a good pace going. Likes to use a lot of kicks and punches in bunches. She has a very good record with 10 wins and only 1 loss and the 1 loss was to Rose Namajunas. She’s not really a powerful striker or finisher though with most of her wins being by decision.

So although Tecia has a better record I believe Andrade has been in with better fighters. I think for Tecia to be successful she needs to move enough to keep away from danger but she needs to be in Jessica’s face enough to make her miss and to push the fast pace. For Andrade to win she probably wants try to make it a brawl, get a hold of Tecia and rough her up a bit. This ain’t an easy one to predict because they are so different and it depends who can impose themselves. I think due to the fact that Andrade has been in with better fighters and she has more ways beat Tecia so I’m going with her.

Prediction – Andrade by decision (split)

Result – Andrade by decision

Ovince St Preux vs Ilir Latifi

Ovince is a guy where you don’t know what’s coming in that he’s capable of some great performances and also some shit ones. His claim to fame lately is back to back Von Flue chokes, which is actually impressive. Outside of that he’s a middle of the pack light heavyweight who pretty good everywhere, he can strike he can wrestle and he has submission skills. He’s doing OK right now on a 3 fight win streak. Hes a big guy at 6’3 with a long reach. He’s a decent counterpuncher and has a very nice left high kick. His overall record is 22 wins and 10 losses.

First time I saw Ilir Latifi was when he showed up to fight Mousasi as a late replacement. To be honest I didn’t think much of him at all but he stepped up at the last minute so you have to give him a proper chance, and they did, and he proved he belongs. He’d a very powerfully built guy and is a national level wrestling champion, Swedish champion twice in fact. Lot of power in his hands and heavy ground in pound, he’s also a southpaw like most wrestlers. His record is OK at 13 wins and 5 losses and he’s 6-3 in the UFC.

I can see this fight being uninspiring. So Latifi doesn’t really set up his strikes he just swings those sledgehammer. So in the first round at least he will be trying to hit OSP and OSP will be backing up and moving out of the way. Very cautious to begin with and watching out for the wrestling also so I think Ovince doesn’t engage much to begin with. Problem with that is, it’s a 3 round fight and he’s a round down. Despite saying that, I believe St Preux is the better fighter. Better movement, slicker and not so 1 (or 2)dimensional so I still have to back him to win.

Prediction – St Preux by decision

Result – Latifi by technical submission

Mike Perry vs Max Griffin

Mike Perry is a brash arrogant SOB but he is very entertaining. As they say make em love you or make em hate you but make them care either way. So up till now though his skills have not lived up to his mouth but he still has time. He’s 26, 5’10 and a well built 170lbs. Good boxer, decent takedown defence and is an excellent finisher. His record is 11 wins and 2 losses with all 11 wins by stoppage, not bad at all. His 2 losses were decisions to Jouban then Ponzinibbio. The take on Perry is that he can be beaten by a technically good striker with good movement who sticks to a game plan. Can his opponent this time do that?

What can we say about Max Griffin? Well first of all he looks like Eryk Anders little brother. He’s a good enough fighter, he bites down on his mouth piece and come forward throwing punches. Sometimes it works sometimes it doesn’t. He 32, 6’0 tall with a decent reach. His record is 13 wins and 4 losses and he’s 1-2 in the UFC. Beating Mike Perry would be huge for him.

We know that both of these guys fight a similar way in that they are both aggressive and like to come forward and they are both primarily punchers. The fact is though that I think Perry is simply better. He has more power, better fundamentals and better defense. Griffin likes to start really fast throwing 1 2s then maybe a sloppy right hand but I would imagine Perry will be able to deal with that easy enough. I think Perry has more tools and more ways to hurt him and I think he gets the finish in round 2.

Prediction – Perry by KO/TKO

Result – Griffin by decision

Rest of the Card

Renan Barao vs Brian Kelleher – Barao

Result – Kelleher

Sara McMann vs Marion Reneau – Reneau

Result – Reneau

Maryna Moroz vs Angela Hill – Moroz

Result – Hill

Ben Saunders vs Alan Jouban – Jouban

Result – Jouban

Sam Alvey vs Marcin Prachnio – Prachnio

Result – Alvey

Rani Yahya vs Russell Doane – Yahya

Result – Yahya

Eric Shelton vs Alex Perez – Perez

Result – Perez

Albert Morales vs Manny Bermudez – Bermudez

Result – Bermudez

Correct Picks 7/12

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